
NEWS
Lars in City AM
Senior Fellow Lars Christensen explains what's going on in emerging markets in City A.M.
Read the whole thing here.
It's nice to see growth but real recovery will take change
Ben Southwood, Head of Macro Policy at the Adam Smith Institute, said:
"It is heartening and refreshing to see real output tick along nicely, putting it 0.7% up on the quarter, 1.9% up over 2013, and 2.8% higher than the same quarter last year."
"Despite all the talk about Forward Guidance failing, this looks like a win for Mark Carney's modest flagship policy. Without a futures market in nominal income it's nearly impossible to say for sure, but it seems like the policy gave markets extra confidence policy would not be prematurely tightened. We can say that the Bank of England was wrong about how quickly unemployment would fall, but that's a good problem to have."
"Still, it's not time to be complacent. Planning policy is so tight that even small liberalisations could add percentage points to GDP. The same goes for immigration, where an unnecessarily tight policy is clamping down on a major export—education—and keeping out potential entrepreneurs. The return to growth should not let us forget that CPI targeting allowed the 2008-9 crash and we need to seriously consider alternatives like nominal income targeting."
For further comment or to arrange an interview with an Adam Smith Institute spokesperson, please phone 02072224995 or email media@adamsmith.org.
The Adam Smith Institute is an independent libertarian think tank based in London. It strives to engineer policies and educate the public in order to create a richer, freer world.
Conservative backbenchers risk turning a bad bill into a terrible one
Commenting on the Conservative backbench amendment to the Immigration Bill, the Adam Smith Institute's Research Director Sam Bowman said:
"The anti-immigration amendment to the Immigration Bill being put forward by Conservative Party backbenchers is deeply misguided, and the Prime Minister is right to oppose it. Fears of a tidal wave of Romanian and Bulgarian immigration at the start of the year proved to be entirely wrong and highlighted the huge disconnect between the political debate about immigration and the reality.
"Immigration is good for Britain: Recent research shows that EEA immigrants pay more into the Exchequer than they cost in social services, meaning that they effectively subsidise the welfare state. [1] Public perceptions about immigration are based on mistaken ideas about basic facts: the average Briton thinks that 31% of the UK's population are immigrants, when in reality the number is 13%. [2]
"In the long-run, a high amount of immigration is vital: according to the ONS, the UK will suffer a debt crisis by the middle of the century unless net immigration exceeds 260k annually between now and then. [3] Conservatives who oppose immigration are thus no more fiscally responsible than the left-wing tax-and-spend politicians they oppose. Furthermore, immigrants reduce the cost of living by providing services and producing goods – particularly essentials like childcare – more cheaply. [4] These findings are generally true of both high-skilled and low-skilled immigrants.
"With its nanny statist provisions that turn private citizens into enforcers of state border controls, the Immigration Bill is already a dog's dinner. By trying to use it to restrict immigration even more, Conservative backbenchers risk turning a bad bill into a terrible one."
[1] http://www.cream-migration.org/publ_uploads/CDP_22_13.pdf
[2] http://www.ipsos-mori.com/researchpublications/researcharchive/3188/Perceptions-are-not-reality-the-top-10-we-get-wrong.aspx
[3] See http://migrationobservatory.ox.ac.uk/briefings/fiscal-impact-immigration-uk; http://budgetresponsibility.org.uk/wordpress/docs/FSR2012WEB.pdf
[4] http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/download?doi=10.1.1.153.5754&rep=rep1&type=pdf
For further comment or to arrange an interview with an Adam Smith Institute spokesperson, please phone 02072224995 or email media@adamsmith.org.
The Adam Smith Institute is an independent libertarian think tank based in London. It strives to engineer policies and educate the public in order to create a richer, freer world.
Eamonn quoted in the Sunday Times
Adam Smith Institute Direction Dr. Eamonn Butler was quoted in a feature in the Sunday Times, explaining how inequality is a feature of rapid economic growth, hence the many billionaires being created in China.
Read the (paywalled) piece here.
Letter from Sam Bowman featured in the FT
A letter from ASI research director Sam Bowman, arguing for greater focus on demand-side stabilisation in macroeconomic policy.
Read the letter here.
Eamonn's letter featured in City A.M.
A letter from ASI Director Dr. Eamonn Butler was featured in City A.M. In it, he argues against the claim there is much competition in UK banking.
Read the letter here.
ASI minimum wage comment quoted by Press Association
The Adam Smith Institute's comment on George Osborne's minimum wage proposal was carried by the Press Assocation.
See their piece, featured on the Huffington Post as well as many local papers, here.
Media contact:
emily@adamsmith.org
Media phone: 07584778207
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